Like organisms evolved in gentle tide pools,
who migrate to freezing oceans or steaming jungles by developing metabolisms,
mechanisms, and behaviors workable in those harsher and vaster environments, our
descendants, able to change their representations at will, may develop means to
venture far from the comfortable realms we consider reality into arbitrarily
strange worlds. Their techniques will be as meaningless to us as bicycles are to
fish, but perhaps we can stretch our common-sense-hobbled imaginations enough to
peer a short distance into this odd territory.
Simulation, Consciousness, Existence
Hans Moravec,
1998
Simulation
During the last few centuries, physical science has
convincingly answered so many questions about the nature of things, and so
hugely increased our abilities, that many see it as the only legitimate claimant
to the title of true knowledge. Other belief systems may have social utility for
the groups that practice them, but ultimately they are just made-up stories. I
myself am partial to such ``physical fundamentalism.''
Physical
fundamentalists, however, must agree with René Descartes that the world we
perceive through our senses could be an elaborate hoax. In the seventeenth
century Descartes considered the possibility of an evil demon who created the
illusion of an external reality by controlling all that we see and hear (and
feel and smell and taste). In the twenty-first century, physical science itself,
through the technology of virtual reality, will provide the means to create such
illusions. Enthusiastic video gamers and other cybernauts are already strapping
themselves into virtual reality goggles and body suits for brief stints in
made-up worlds whose fundamental mechanisms are completely different from the
quantum fields that (best evidence suggests) constitute our physical
world.
Today's virtual adventurers do not fully escape the physical
world: if they bump into real objects, they feel real pain. That link may weaken
when direct connections to the nervous system become possible, leading perhaps
to the old science-fiction idea of a living brain in a vat. The brain would be
physically sustained by life-support machinery, and mentally by connections of
all the peripheral nerves to an elaborate simulation of not only a surrounding
world but also a body for the brain to inhabit. Brain vats might be medical
stopgaps for accident victims with bodies damaged beyond repair, pending the
acquisition, growth, or manufacture of a new body.
The virtual life of a
brain in a vat can still be subtly perturbed by external physical, chemical, or
electrical effects impinging on the vat. Even these weak ties to the physical
world would fade if the brain, as well as the body, was absorbed into the
simulation. If damaged or endangered parts of the brain, like the body, could be
replaced with functionally equivalent simulations, some individuals could
survive total physical destruction to find themselves alive as pure computer
simulations in virtual worlds.
A simulated world hosting a simulated
person can be a closed self-contained entity. It might exist as a program on a
computer processing data quietly in some dark corner, giving no external hint of
the joys and pains, successes and frustrations of the person inside. Inside the
simulation events unfold according to the strict logic of the program, which
defines the ``laws of physics'' of the simulation. The inhabitant might, by
patient experimentation and inference, deduce some representation of the
simulation laws, but not the nature or even existence of the simulating
computer. The simulation's internal relationships would be the same if the
program were running correctly on any of an endless variety of possible
computers, slowly, quickly, intermittently, or even backwards and forwards in
time, with the data stored as charges on chips, marks on a tape, or pulses in a
delay line, with the simulation's numbers represented in binary, decimal, or
Roman numerals, compactly or spread widely across the machine. There is no
limit, in principle, on how indirect the relationship between simulation and
simulated can be.
Today's simulations, say of aircraft flight or the
weather, are run to provide answers and images. They do so through additional
programs that translate the simulation's internal representations into forms
convenient for external human observers. The need to interpret limits how
radical a simulation's hardware and software representations can be. Making them
too different from the form of the answers may render the translation
impractically slow and expensive. This practical limit may be irrelevant for
simulations, such as the medical rescue imagined above, that contain their own
observers. Conscious inhabitants of simulations experience their virtual lives
whether or not outsiders manage to view them. They can be implemented in any way
at all.
What does it mean for a process to implement, or encode, a
simulation? Something is palpably an encoding if there is a way of decoding or
translating it into a recognizable form. Programs that produce pictures of
evolving cloud cover from weather simulations, or cockpit views from flight
simulations, are examples of such decodings. As the relationship between the
elements inside the simulator and the external representation becomes more
complicated, the decoding process may become impractically expensive. Yet there
is no obvious cutoff point. A translation that is impractical today may be
possible tomorrow given more powerful computers, some yet undiscovered
mathematical approach, or perhaps an alien translator. Like people who dismiss
speech and signs in unfamiliar foreign languages as meaningless gibberish, we
are likely to be rudely surprised if we dismiss possible interpretations simply
because we can't achieve them at the moment. Why not accept all mathematically
possible decodings, regardless of present or future practicality? This seems a
safe, open-minded approach, but it leads into strange territory.
An
interpretation of a simulation is just a mathematical mapping between states of
the simulation process and views of the simulation meaningful to a particular
observer. A small, fast program to do this makes the interpretation practical.
Mathematically, however, the job can also be done by a huge theoretical lookup
table that contains an observer's view for every possible state of the
simulation.
The observation is disturbing because there is always a table
that takes any particular situation---for instance, the idle passage of
time---into any sequence of views. Not just hard-working computers, but anything
at all can theoretically be viewed as a simulation of any possible world! We are
unlikely to experience more than an infinitesimal fraction of the infinity of
possible worlds, yet, as our ability to process data increases, more and more of
them will become potentially viewable. Our ever-more superintelligent progeny
will be able to make increasingly huge interpretive leaps, far beyond anything
now imaginable. But whether or not they are ever seen from outside, all the
possible worlds are as physically real to any conscious inhabitants they may
contain as our world is to us.
This line of thought, growing out of the
premises and techniques of physical science, has the unexpected consequence of
demoting physical existence to a derivative role. A possible world is as real,
and only as real, as conscious observers, especially inside the world, think it
is!
Consciousness
But what is consciousness? The prescientific suggestion
that humans derive their experience of existence from spiritual mechanisms
outside the physical world has had notable social consequences, but no success
as a scientific hypothesis. Physical science has only recently begun to address
the question on its own terms, from vantage points including evolutionary
biology, anthropology, psychology, neurobiology, and computer
science.
Human consciousness may be a by-product of a brain evolved for
social living. Memory, prediction and communication mechanisms, similar but
distinct from those for keeping track of physical objects, evolved to classify
and communicate the moods and relations of tribe members. Aggressive and
submissive behaviors, for instance, just like bad and good smells, became
classified into categories linked to behavioral responses and also communicable
symbols. As language evolved, it became possible to tell stories about both
physical and psychological events. At some point, perhaps very early in its
evolution, the storytelling mechanism was turned back on the teller, and the
story began to include commentary about the teller's state of mind along with
the external happenings.
Our consciousness may be primarily the
continuous story we tell ourselves, from moment to moment, about what we did and
why we did it. It is a thin, often inaccurate veneer rationalizing a mountain of
unconscious processing. Not only is our consciousness-story a weak reflection of
physical and brain reality, but its very existence is a purely subjective
attribution. Viewed from the physical outside, the story is just a pattern of
electrochemical events, probably in mainly our left cortex. A complex
psychological interpretation must be invoked to translate that pattern into a
meaningful tale. From the psychological inside, the story is compelling because
the psychological interpretation is an essential element of the story, its
relationships enforced unconsciously by the interconnections of the storytelling
neural machinery.
On the one hand, our consciousness may be an
evolutionary fluke, telling an unreliable story in a far-fetched interpretation
of a pattern of tiny salty squirts. On the other, our consciousness is the only
reason for thinking we exist (or for thinking we think). Without it there are no
beliefs, no sensations, no experience of being, no universe.
Existence
What is reality, anyway? The idea of a simulated existence is
the first link in our disturbing chain of thought. Just as a literary
description of a place can exist in different languages, phrasings, printing
styles, and physical media, a simulation of a world can be implemented in
radically different data structures, processing steps, and hardware. If one
interrupts a simulation running on one machine and translates its data and
program to carry on in a totally dissimilar computer, the simulation's
intrinsics, including the mental activity of any inhabitants, continue blithely
to follow the simulated physical laws. Only observers outside the simulation
notice if the new machine runs at a different speed, does its steps in a
scrambled order, or requires elaborate translation to make sense of its
action.
A simulation, say of the weather, can be viewed as a set of
numbers being transformed incrementally into other numbers. Most computer
simulations have separate viewing programs that interpret the internal numbers
into externally meaningful form, say pictures of evolving cloud patterns. The
simulation, however, proceeds with or without such external interpretation. If a
simulation's data representation is transformed, the computer running it steps
through an entirely different number sequence, although a correspondingly
modified viewing program will produce the same pictures. There is no objective
limit to how radical the representation can be, and any simulation can be found
in any sequence, given the right interpretation. A simple clock simulates the
evolving state of a complex world when interpreted via a world-describing
playbook or movie frames keyed to clock ticks. Even the clock is superfluous,
since an external observer can read the book or watch the movie at any pace. If
the interpretation of a simulation is a dispensable external, while its core
implementation can be transformed away to nothing, in what sense can a simulated
world be said to exist at all?
Mathematical realism, a philosophical
position advocated by Plato, illuminates this problem's vexing intangibles.
Mathematical objects like numbers and geometric shapes manifest themselves just
as richly and consistently to abstract thought as physical objects impress the
senses. To Plato, mathematical concepts were as real as physical objects, just
invisible to the external senses as sound is imperceptible to the
eyes.
Computer simulation brings mathematical realism neatly full circle.
Plato's unaided mind could handle only simple mathematical objects, leading to
such dichotomies as the idea of a perfect sphere compared to a mottled,
scratched marble ball in the hand. Computer simulation, like a telescope for the
mind's eye, extends mental vision beyond the nearby realm of simple mathematical
objects to distant worlds, some as complex as physical reality, potentially full
of living beings, warts, minds, and all. Our own world is among this vista of
abstractly conceivable ones, defined by the formal relationships we call
physical law as any simulation is defined by its internal rules. The difference
between physical and mathematical reality is an illusion of vantage point: the
physical world is simply the particular abstract world that happens to contain
us.
The Platonic position on simulation puts a handle on the vexingly
intangible. It holds that every interpretation of a process is a reality in its
own right. Without it an interpretation is meaningful only in context of another
interpretation defining a containing world, and so on, in an infinite regress.
The Platonic position defuses various worries about intelligent machinery. Some
critics argue that a machine cannot contain a mind since a machine's function is
entirely an outside interpretation, unlike human minds, which supply their own
sense of meaning. The Platonic position on simulation answers that the abstract
relationships that constitute the mind, including its own self-interpretation,
exist independently, and a robot, a simulator, or a book describing the action,
no less than a biological brain, is just a way of peeking at them. Other critics
worry that future robots may act like intelligent, feeling beings without having
an internal sense of existence---that they will be unconscious, mindless
zombies. Platonism replies that while there are indeed interpretations of any
mechanism (including the human brain) as mindless, there are others which allow
one to see a real, self-appreciating mind. When a robot (or a person) behaves as
if it has beliefs and feelings, our relationship with it will usually be
facilitated if we choose a ``has a mind'' interpretation. Of course, when
working on the internals, a robotics engineer (or a brain surgeon) may be best
served by temporarily slipping into a ``mindless mechanism''
interpretation.
Platonism puts on the same footing mechanical simulations
that precisely mimic every interaction detail, rough approximations, cinematic
reconstructions, literary descriptions, idle speculation, dreams, even random
gibberish: all can be interpreted as images of realities; the more detailed
presentations simply have a sharper focus, blurring together fewer alternative
worlds. But isn't there a huge difference between a conventional ``live''
simulation of a world and a simulation transformed to nothing, requiring a
``recorded'' book or movie to relate the unfolding events? Isn't it possible to
interact with a running simulation, poking one's finger into the action, in a
way impossible with a static script? In fact, a meaningful interaction is
possible in either case only via an interpretation that connects the simulated
world to the outside. In an interactive simulation, the viewing mechanism is no
longer passive and superfluous, but an essential bidirectional conduit that
passes information to and from the simulation. Such a conduit can exist for
books and movies if they contain alternative scenarios for possible inputs.
``Programmed learning'' texts popular in previous decades were of this form,
with instructions like ``If you answered A, go to page 56; if you answered B, go
to page 79 . . .'' Some laser-disc video games give the impression of
interactive simulation by playing video clips contingent on the player's
actions. Mathematically, any interactive mechanism, even a robot or human, can
be viewed as a compact encoding of a script with responses for all possible
input histories. Platonism holds that the soul is in the abstract relationships
represented, not the mechanics of how they are encoded.
This position
seems to have scary moral implications. If simulation simply opens windows into
Platonic realities, and robots and humans, no less than books, movies, or
computer models, are only images of those essences, then it should be no worse
to mistreat a human, an animal or a feeling robot than to choose a cruel action
in a video game or an interactive book: in all cases you are simply viewing
preexisting realities. But choices do have consequences for the person making
them because of the mysterious contrivance of physical law and conscious
interpretation that produces single threads of consciousness with unseen futures
and unalterable pasts. By our choices, we each thread our own separate way
through the maze of possible worlds, bypassing equally real alternatives with
equally real versions of ourselves and others, selecting the world we must then
live in.
So is there no difference between being cruel to characters in
interactive books or video games and people one meets in the street? Books or
games act on a reader's future only via the mind, and actions within them are
mostly reversed if the experience is forgotten. Physical actions, by contrast,
have greater significance because their consequences spread irreversibly. If
past physical events could be easily altered, as in some time-travel stories, if
one could go back to prevent evil or unfortunate deeds, real life would
acquire the moral significance of a video game. A more disturbing implication is
that any sealed-off activity, whose goings on can be forgotten, may be in the
video game category. Creators of hyperrealistic simulations---or even secure
physical enclosures---containing individuals writhing in pain are not
necessarily more wicked than authors of fiction with distressed characters, or
myself, composing this sentence vaguely alluding to them. The suffering
preexists in the underlying Platonic worlds; authors merely look on. The
significance of running such simulations is limited to their effect on viewers,
possibly warped by the experience, and by the possibility of
``escapees''---tortured minds that could, in principle, leak out to haunt the
world in data networks or physical bodies. Potential plagues of angry demons
surely count as a moral consequence. In this light, mistreating people,
intelligent robots, or individuals in high-resolution simulations has greater
moral significance than doing the same at low resolution or in works of fiction
not because the suffering individuals are more real---they are not---but because
the probability of undesirable consequences in our own future is
greater.
Universal Existence
Perhaps the most unsettling implication of this
train of thought is that anything can be interpreted as possessing any abstract
property, including consciousness and intelligence. Given the right playbook,
the thermal jostling of the atoms in a rock can be seen as the operation of a
complex, self-aware mind. How strange. Common sense screams that people have
minds and rocks don't. But interpretations are often ambiguous. One day's
unintelligible sounds and squiggles may become another day's meaningful thoughts
if one masters a foreign language in the interim. Is the Mount Rushmore monument
a rock formation or four presidents' faces? Is a ventriloquist's dummy a lump of
wood, a human simulacrum, or a personality sharing some of the ventriloquist's
body and mind? Is a video game a box of silicon bits, an electronic circuit
flipping its own switches, a computer following a long list of instructions, or
a large three-dimensional world inhabited by the Mario Brothers and their
mushroom adversaries? Sometimes we exploit offbeat interpretations: an encrypted
message is meaningless gibberish except when viewed through a deliberately
obscure decoding. Humans have always used a modest multiplicity of
interpretations, but computers widen the horizons. The first electronic computer
was developed by Alan Turing to find ``interesting'' interpretations of wartime
messages radioed by Germany to its U-boats. As our thoughts become more
powerful, our repertoire of useful interpretations will grow. We can see levers
and springs in animal limbs, and beauty in the aurora: our ``mind children'' may
be able to spot fully functioning intelligences in the complex chemical goings
on of plants, the dynamics of interstellar clouds, or the reverberations of
cosmic radiation. No particular interpretation is ruled out, but the space of
all of them is exponentially larger than the size of individual ones, and we may
never encounter more than an infinitesimal fraction. The rock-minds may be
forever lost to us in the bogglingly vast sea of mindlessly chaotic
rock-interpretations. Yet those rock-minds make complete sense to themselves,
and to them it is we who are lost in meaningless chaos. Our own nature, in fact,
is defined by the tiny fraction of possible interpretations we can make, and the
astronomical number we can't.
Everything and Nothing
There is no content or meaning without selection.
The realm of all possible worlds, infinitely immense in one point of view, is
vacuous in another. Imagine a book giving a detailed history of a world similar
to ours. The book is written as compactly as possible: rote predictable details
are left as homework for the reader. But even with maximal compression, it would
be an astronomically immense tome, full of novelty and excitement. This
interesting book, however, is found in ``the library of all possible books
written in the Roman alphabet, arranged alphabetically''---the whole library
being adequately defined by this short, boring phrase in quotes. The library as
a whole has so little content that getting a book from it takes as much effort
as writing the book. The library might have stacks labeled A through
Z, plus a few for punctuation, each forking into similarly labeled
substacks, those forking into subsubstacks, and so on indefinitely. Each
branchpoint holds a book whose content is the sequence of stack letters chosen
to reach it. Any book can be found in the library, but to find it the user must
choose its first letter, then its second, then its third, just as one types a
book by keying each subsequent letter. The book's content results entirely from
the user's selections; the library has no information of its own to
contribute.
Although content-free overall, the library contains
individual books with fabulously interesting stories. Characters in some of
those books, insulated from the vast gibberish that makes the library worthless
from outside, can well appreciate their own existence. They do so by perceiving
and interpreting their own story in a consistent way, one that recognizes their
own meaningfulness---a prescription that is probably the secret of life and
existence, and the reason we find ourselves in a large, orderly universe with
consistent physical laws, possessing a sense of time and a long evolutionary
history.
The set of all possible interpretations of any process as
simulations is exactly analogous to the content of all the books in the library.
In total it contains no information, yet every interesting being and story can
be found within it.
Universal Appreciation
If our world distinguishes itself from the vast
unexamined (and unexaminable) majority of possible worlds through the act of
self-perception and self-appreciation, just who is doing all the perceiving and
appreciating? The human mind may be up to interpreting its own functioning as
conscious, so rescuing itself from meaningless zombiehood, but surely we few
humans and other biota---trapped on a tiny, soggy dust speck in an obscure
corner, only occasionally and dimly aware of the grossest features of our
immediate surroundings and immediate past---are surely insufficient to bring
meaning to the whole visible universe, full of unimagined surprises, 10^40 times
as massive, 10^70 times as voluminous, and 10^10 times as long-lived as
ourselves. Our present appreciative ability seems more a match for the
simplicity of Saturday-morning cartoons.
The book The Anthropic
Cosmological Principle, by cosmologists John Barrow and Frank Tipler, and
Tipler's recent The Physics of Immortality argue that the crucial parts
of the story lie in our future, when the universe will be shaped more by the
deliberate efforts of intelligence than the simple, blind laws of physics. In
their future cosmology, consistent with the one in this book, human-spawned
intelligence will expand into space, until the entire accessible universe is
inhabited by a cohesive mind that manipulates events, from the
quantum-microscopic to the universe-macroscopic, and spends some of its energy
recalling the past. Tipler and Barrow predict that the universe is closed:
massive enough to reverse its present expansion in a future ``big crunch'' that
mirrors the big bang. The universe mind will thrive in the collapse, perhaps by
encoding itself into the cosmic background radiation. As the collapse proceeds,
the radiation's temperature, and so its frequencies and the mind's speed, rise
and there are ever more high-frequency wave modes to store information. By very
careful management, avoiding ``event horizons'' that would disconnect its parts
and using ``gravitational shear'' from asymmetries in the collapse to provide
free energy, Tipler and Barrow calculate that the cosmic mind can contrive to do
more computation and accumulate more memories in each remaining half of the time
to the final singularity than it did in the one before, thus experiencing a
neverending infinity of time and thought. As it contemplates, effects from the
universe's past converge on it. There is information, time, and thought enough
to recreate, savor, appreciate, and perfect each detail of each moment. Tipler
and Barrow suggest that it is this final, subjectively eternal act of infinite
self-interpretation that effectively creates our universe, distinguishing it
from the others lost in the library of all possibilities. We truly exist because
our actions lead ultimately to this ``Omega Point'' (a term borrowed from the
Jesuit paleontologist and radical philosopher Tielhard de Chardin).
Uncommon Sense
Although our eyes and arms effortlessly predict the
liftability of a rock, the action of a lever, or the flight of an arrow,
mechanics was deeply mysterious to those overly thoughtful ancients who pondered
why stones fell, smoke rose, or the moon sailed by unperturbably. Newtonian
mechanics revolutionized science by precisely formalizing the intelligence of
eye and muscle, giving the Victorian era a viscerally satisfying mental grip on
the physical world. In the twentieth century, this common-sense approach was
gradually extended to biology and psychology. Meanwhile, physics moved beyond
common sense. It had to be reworked because, it turned out, light did not fit
the Newtonian framework.
In a one-two blow, intuitive notions of space,
time, and reality were shattered, first by relativity, where space and time vary
with perspective, then more seriously by quantum mechanics, where unobserved
events dissolve into waves of alternatives. Although correctly describing
everyday mechanics as well as such important features of the world as the
stability of atoms and the finiteness of heat radiation, the new theories were
so offensive to common sense, in concept and consequences, that they inspire
persistent misunderstandings and bitter attacks to this day. The insult will get
worse. General relativity, superbly accurate at large scales and masses, has not
yet been reconciled with quantum mechanics, itself superbly accurate at tiny
scales and huge energy concentrations. Incomplete attempts to unite them in a
single theory hint at possibilities that exceed even their individual
strangeness.
The strangeness begins just beyond the edges of the everyday
world. When an object travels from one place to another, common sense insists
that it does so on a definite, unique trajectory. Not so, says quantum
mechanics. A particle in unobserved transit goes every possible way
simultaneously until it is observed again. The indefiniteness of the trajectory
manifests itself in the kind of interference pattern created by waves that
spread and recombine, adding where they meet in step and canceling where out of
step. A photon, a neutron, or even a whole atom sent to a row of detectors via a
screen with two slits, will always miss certain detectors, where the wave of its
possible positions, having passed through both slits,
cancels.
Experimental results forced the quantum view of the world on
reluctant physicists piecemeal during the first quarter of the twentieth century
and it still has ragged edges. The theory is neat in describing the unobserved,
where, for instance, a particle spreads like a wave. It fails to define or
pinpoint the act of observation, when the ``wave function'' collapses and the
particle appears in exactly one of its possible places, with a probability given
by the intensity of its wave there. It may be when the detector responds, or
when the instrumentation connected to the detector registers, or when the
experimenter notes the instrument readings, or even when the world reads about
the result in physics journals!
In principle, if not practice, the point
of collapse can be pinpointed: before collapse, possibilities interfere like
waves, creating interference patterns; after collapse, possibilities simply add
in a common-sense way. Very small objects, like neutrons traveling through
slits, make visible interference patterns. Unfortunately, large, messy objects
like particle detectors or observing physicists would produce interference
patterns much, much finer than atoms, indistinguishable from common-sense
probability distributions because they are so easily blurred by thermal
jiggling.
Because, for humans, common sense is easier than quantum
theory, workaday physicists take collapse to happen as soon as possible---for
instance, when a particle first encounters its detector. But this ``early
collapse'' view can have peculiar implications. It implies that the wave
function can be repeatedly collapsed and uncollapsed in subtle experiments that
allow measurements to be undone through deliberate cancellation at the
experimenter's whim.
This wave function yo-yo is less problematical if
one assumes that the collapse happens further downstream where it is more
difficult to undo the measurement. Just where the hope of reversal ends is a
moving target, as quantum experiments become ever more controlled and subtle.
Einstein was troubled by the implications of quantum mechanics, and he devised
thought experiments with outcomes so counterintuitive he felt they discredited
the theory. Those counterintuitive outcomes are now observed in laboratories and
utilized in experimental quantum computers and cryptographic signaling systems.
Soon, more advanced quantum computers will allow the results of entire long
computations to be undone.
Common sense screams that measurements are
real when they register in the experimenter's consciousness. This thinking has
led some philosophically inclined physicists to suggest that consciousness
itself is the mysterious wave-collapsing process that quantum theory fails to
identify. But even consciousness is insufficient to cause collapse in the
thought experiment known as ``Wigner's Friend.'' Like the more famous
``Schrödinger's Cat,'' Wigner's friend is sealed in a perfectly isolating
enclosure with a physics experiment that has two possible outcomes. The friend
observes the experiment and notes the outcome mentally. Outside the leakproof
enclosure, Wigner can only describe his friend's mental state as the
superposition of the alternatives. In principle these alternatives should
interfere, so that when the enclosure is opened one or another outcome may be
favored, depending on the precise time of opening. Wigner might then conclude
that his own consciousness triggered the collapse when the enclosure was opened,
but his friend's earlier observation had left it uncollapsed.
Assuming
that effects behave quantum mechanically until some point when their wave
functions become so entangled with the world that they are beyond hope of
reversal, at which point they behave commonsensically, eliminates philosophical
problems for most laboratory physicists. It creates problems for cosmologists,
whose scope is the entire universe, for it implies the world is peppered with
collapsed wave functions surrounding observing devices. These collapses have no
theory and cannot be experimentally quantified and thus make it impossible to
set up equations for the universe overall. Instead, cosmologists assume the
entire universe behaves as a giant wave function that evolves according to
quantum theory and never collapses. But how can a ``universal wave function,''
in which every particle forever spreads like a wave, be reconciled with
individual experiences of finding particles in particular positions?
Many Worlds
In a 1957 Ph.D. thesis, Hugh Everett gave a new answer to
that question. Given a universally evolving wave function, where the
configuration of a measuring apparatus, no less than of a particle, spreads
wavelike through its space of possibilities, he showed that if two instruments
recorded the same event, the overall wave function had maximum magnitude for
situations where the records concurred and canceled where they disagreed. Thus,
a peak in the combined wave represents a possibility where, for instance, an
instrument, an experimenter's memory, and the marks in a notebook agree on where
a particle alighted---eminent common sense. But the whole wave function contains
many such peaks, each representing a consensus on a different outcome. Everett
had shown that quantum mechanics, stripped of problematical collapsing wave
functions, still predicts common-sense worlds---only many, many of them, all
slightly different. The ``no-collapse'' view became known as the ``many-worlds''
interpretation of quantum mechanics. Its implication that each observation
branched the world into something like $10^{100}$ separate experiences seemed so
extravagantly insulting to common sense that it was passionately rejected by
many. Although cosmologists worked with the universal wave function, its
connection to the everyday world was ignored for another twenty
years.
Recent subtle experiments confirming the most mind-bending
predictions of quantum mechanics, including the development of quantum
computers, have lifted many-worlds' stock relative to traditional
interpretations that require influences to leap wildly across time and space to
explain the observed correlations. The theoretical trail pioneered by Everett is
becoming traveled and extended. Since the late 1980s James Hartle and Murray
Gell-Mann have investigated its underlying notions of measurement and
probability.
Everett had demonstrated that the conventional rules for
collapsing the wave function to measurement-outcome probabilities from
``outside'' a system were consistent with what would be reported by (each
version of) the uncollapsed observer ``inside,'' thus removing the requirement
for an outside or a collapse and raising our consciousness to existence of many
worlds. He made no attempt to show how those peculiar measurement rules arose in
the first place. Gell-Mann and Hartle are asking this difficult question. They
are far from a final resolution, but their work so far shows just how
special---or illusory---the common-sense world really is.
Hartle and
Gell-Mann note that if we were to try to observe and remember events at the
finest possible detail---around $10^{-30}$ centimeters, far smaller than
anything reachable today---the interference of all possible worlds would present
a seething chaos with no permanent structures, no quiet place to store memories,
effectively no consistent time. At a coarser viewing scale---$10^{-15}$
centimeters, the submicroscopic world touched by today's high-energy
physics---much of the chaos goes unobserved, and multiple worlds merge together,
canceling the wildest possibilities, leaving those where particles can exhibit a
consistent existence and motion, if still jaggedly unpredictable, through a
vacuum that boils with ephemeral ``virtual'' energy. Everyday objects have the
smooth, predictable trajectories of common sense only because our dim senses are
coarser still, registering nothing finer than $10^{-5}$ centimeters. At scales
larger than the everyday (or the Hartle--Gell-Mann analysis), the events we
consider interesting are blurred to invisibility, and the universe is
increasingly boring and predictable. At the largest possible scale, the
universe's matter is canceled by the negative energy in its gravitational fields
(which strengthen while releasing energy, as matter falls together), and in sum
there is nothing at all.
No complete theory yet explains our existence
and experiences, but there are hints. Tiny universes simulated in today's
computers are often characterized by adjustable rules governing the interaction
of neighboring regions. If the interactions are made very weak, the simulations
quickly freeze to bland uniformity; if they are very strong, the simulated space
may seethe intensely in a chaotic boil. Between the extremes is a narrow ``edge
of chaos'' with enough action to form interesting structures, and enough peace
to let them persist and interact. Often such borderline universes can contain
structures that use stored information to construct other things, including
perfect or imperfect copies of themselves, thus supporting Darwinian evolution
of complexity. If physics itself offers a spectrum of interaction intensities,
it is no surprise that we find ourselves operating at the liquid boundary of
chaos, for we could not function, nor have evolved, in motionless ice nor
formless fire.
The odd thing about the Hartle--Gell-Mann spectrum is that
it is not some external knob that controls the interaction intensity, but
varying interpretations of a single underlying reality made by observers who are
part of the interpretation. It is, in fact, the same kind of self-interpretation
loop we encountered when considering observers inside simulations. We are who we
are, in the world we experience, because we see ourselves that way. There are
almost certainly other observers in exactly the same regions of the wave
function who see things entirely differently, to whom we are simply meaningless
noise.
The similarity between Everett's ``many worlds'' and the
philosophical ``possible worlds'' may become stronger yet. In ``many worlds''
quantum mechanics, physical constants, among other things, have fixed values.
Gravity, in objects like black holes, loosens the rules, and a full quantum
theory of gravity may predict possible worlds far exceeding Everett's
range---and who knows what potent subtleties lie even further on? It may turn
out, as we claw our way out through onion layers of interpretation, that physics
places fewer and fewer constraints on the nature of things. The regularities we
observe may be merely a self-reflection: we must perceive the world as
compatible with our own existence---with a strong arrow of time, dependable
probabilities, where complexity can evolve and persist, where experiences can
accumulate in reliable memories, and the results of actions are predictable. Our
mind children, able to manipulate their own substance and structure at the
finest levels, will probably greatly transcend our narrow notions of what
is.
Questioning Reality
Like organisms evolved in gentle tide pools, who
migrate to freezing oceans or steaming jungles by developing metabolisms,
mechanisms, and behaviors workable in those harsher and vaster environments, our
descendants may develop means to venture far from the comfortable realms we
consider reality into arbitrarily strange volumes of the all-possible library.
Their techniques will be as meaningless to us as bicycles are to fish, but
perhaps we can stretch our common-sense-hobbled imaginations enough to peer a
short distance into this odd territory. Physical quantities like the speed of
light, the attraction of electric charges, and the strength of gravity are, for
us, the unchanging foundation on which everything is built. But if our existence
is a product of self-interpretation in the space of all possible worlds, this
stability may simply reflect the delicacy of our own construction---our
biochemistry malfunctions in worlds where the physical constants vary, and we
would cease to be there. Thus, we always find ourselves in a world where the
constants are just what is needed to keep us functioning. For the same reason,
we find the rules have held steady over a long period, so evolution could
accumulate our many intricate, interlocking internal mechanisms.
Our
engineered descendants will be more flexible. Perhaps mind-hosting bodies can be
constructed that are adjustable for small changes in, say, the speed of light.
An individual who installed itself in such a body, and then adjusted it for a
slightly higher lightspeed, should then find itself in a physical universe
appropriately altered, since it could then exist in no other. It would be a
one-way trip. Acquaintances in old-style bodies would be seen to die---among
fireworks everywhere, as formerly stable atoms and compounds disintegrated.
Turning the tuning knob back would not restore the lost continuity of life and
substance. Back in the old universe everything would be normal, only the
acquaintances would witness an odd ``suicide by tuning knob.'' Such irreversible
partings of the way occur elsewhere in physics. The many-worlds interpretation
calls for them, subtly, at every recorded observation. General relativity offers
dramatic ``event horizons'': an observer falling into a black hole sees a
previously inaccessible universe ahead at the instant she permanently loses the
ability to signal friends left outside.
Visiting offbeat worlds, where
the dependable predictability of the common sense no longer holds, is probably
much too tricky for crude techniques like the last paragraph's knob turning. It
must be far more likely that mechanical fluctuations or other effects
persistently frustrate attempts to retune a body than for physical constants to
actually change. Yet once our descendants achieve fine-grain mastery of
extensive regions of the universe, they may be able to orchestrate the delicate
adjustments needed to navigate deliberately among the possibilities, perhaps
into difficult but potent regions shaped by interrelationships richer than those
of matter, space, and time. Time travel, a technology faintly visible on our
horizon, may mark merely the first and most pedestrian route in this limitless
space.
Until Death Do Us Part
We can't yet leave the physical world in chosen
directions, but we are scheduled to leave it soon enough in an uncontrolled way
when we die. But why do we seem so firmly locked to the simple physical laws of
the material world before death? This is a most fundamental question if one
accepts that all possible worlds are equally real. Artificial intelligence
programs, which recreate the psychological state of nervous systems without
simulating the detailed physical substance that underlies them, and virtual
realities, which allow unphysical magical effects like teleportation, suggest
that our own consciousnesses can exist in many possible worlds that do not
follow our physical laws. This question of why our universe seems so firmly
yoked to physical law has hardly been asked in a scientific way, let alone
answered. But the answer may be related to Einstein's observation that
mathematics seems to be unreasonably effective in describing the physical world.
This unreasonableness shows itself in the plausible, already partially
fulfilled, quest of physics for a ``Theory of Everything,'' perhaps a simple
differential equation whose solution implies our whole physical universe and
everything in it!
In our daily meanders, we are more likely to stumble
across a particular small number (say ``5'') than a particular large one (say
``53783425456''). The larger number requires far more digits to simultaneously
fall into place just so, and thus is far less likely. Similarly, although we
exist in many of all possible universes, we are most likely to find ourselves in
the simplest of those, the few that require the least number of things to be
just so. The universe's great size and age, its physical laws, and our own long
evolution may be just the working of the simplest possible rules that produce
our minds.
Our consciousness now finds itself dependent on the operation
of trillions of cells tuned exquisitely to the physical laws into which we
evolved. It continues from moment to moment most simply if those laws continue
to operate as they have in the past. Thus, with overwhelming probability, we
find the laws are stable. In the space of all possible universes, we are bound
to the same old one. As long as we remain alive.
When we die, the rules
surely change. As our brains and bodies cease to function in the normal way, it
takes greater and greater contrivances and coincidences to explain continuing
consciousness by their operation. We lose our ties to physical reality, but, in
the space of all possible worlds, that cannot be the end. Our consciousness
continues to exist in some of those, and we will always find ourselves in worlds
where we exist and never in ones where we don't. The nature of the next simplest
world that can host us, after we abandon physical law, I cannot guess. Does
physical reality simply loosen just enough to allow our consciousness to
continue? Do we find ourselves in a new body, or no body? It probably depends
more on the details of our own consciousness than did the original physical
life. Perhaps we are most likely to find ourselves reconstituted in the minds of
superintelligent successors, or perhaps in dreamlike worlds (or AI programs)
where psychological rather than physical rules dominate. Our mind children will
probably be able to navigate the alternatives with increasing facility. For us,
now, barely conscious, it remains a leap in the dark. Shakespeare's words, in
Hamlet's famous soliloquy, still apply:
To die, to sleep;
To sleep:
perchance to dream: ay, there's the rub;
For in that sleep of death what
dreams may come
When we have shuffled off this mortal coil,
Must give us
pause: there's the respect
That makes calamity of so long life;
For who
would bear the whips and scorns of time,
The oppressor's wrong, the proud
man's contumely,
The pangs of despised love, the law's delay,
The
insolence of office and the spurns
That patient merit of the unworthy
takes,
When he himself might his quietus make
With a bare bodkin? who
would fardels bear,
To grunt and sweat under a weary life,
But that the
dread of something after death,
The undiscover'd country from whose
bourn
No traveller returns, puzzles the will
And makes us rather bear
those ills we have
Than fly to others that we know not of?
Thus conscience
does make cowards of us all;
And thus the native hue of resolution
Is
sicklied o'er with the pale cast of thought,
And enterprises of great pith
and moment
With this regard their currents turn awry,
And lose the name of
action.